Today's blog will examine numismatic coins otherwise known as collectibles and the issue of how collectible is a collectible coin. The word numismatic is derived from the Greek numisma, meaning “current coin.” We are also going to be looking at the premiums that are connected with these coins. We’ll explore the issue of under what conditions gold coins could be confiscated, whether it’s too late to buy gold now and what are the warning signs to tell us when it’s time to sell our gold?
Under ordinary circumstances, I probably wouldn’t be devoting much time to the subject of numismatic coins, because it’s a very small part of gold collecting. But the main reason that I want to broach this subject is because thousands of people in various parts of the world have bought or inherited collectible coins.
This was brought home to bear when I was talking to one of my friends about the advantages of buying gold and she told me she had a very large collection of gold coins that go way back into the early 1800’s. They have been handed down from generation to generation in her family – and I said to her, are you going to be selling it? And she said – oh no – I’m going to be leaving it for my grandchildren. This was a very interesting concept to me because in the United States, gold bullion was confiscated from 1933 to 1971. These laws had no relevance in her life because she had no intention of selling her gold. If we wanted to do simple maths, based on what was paid for the gold in the early 1800’s to what it’s worth today, should she have decided to sell the gold now, she would be a millionaire many times over.
The downside of this is if my friend tried to sell these coins when there is a danger of imminent economic collapse, and many of these collections come on the market at the same time, she may be unable to sell them. But since she has no intention of selling them, this doesn’t apply to her. On the other hand, there are thousands of collectors throughout the world, who have in their collections coins that are not attached to sentimentality, and those collectors need to be aware that in a serious economic downturn, when people have to raise money very quickly, you may have hundreds of these collections on the market at the same time – and at this point, you might find they are not a very good investment, as you cannot sell them or you might have to sell them at a huge loss. There is a limited market for rare coins. …there is a saying that goes something like this: “The only thing rarer than a rare coin. ….is a buyer for a rare coin.”
With numismatic coins, you are paying many times the silver or gold content. You are paying for the rarity and for how much someone else covets that particular coin. So if you want to sell, you need to find the exact buyer for that coin, whereas with the bullion market which is worldwide and tradeable, you will always have buyers for your physical gold.
Let’s look at some of the reasons why numismatic coins may not be your best investment. While with gold bullion, you are just paying for the content of the metal and the dealer’s premium. With numismatic coins you are paying not only for the metal and the dealer’s profit, but on top of that you are also paying a numismatic premium, which is for the supposed rarity of the coin. Then you better keep your fingers crossed that that coin is really rare and will keep its value through the years.
If you have invested in gold bullion and the price rises by 5-10%, you are already close to being in profit. On the other hand, if you have invested in numismatic coins, the dealer has already charged you 15-100% on your purchase and the price needs to have gone up by at least 15-100% for you just to break even, which may be why, I read a quote that went something like this:
In numismatics, lots of money is made selling rare coins to noncollectors, and whenever a noncollector buys a collector’s items, the future loss of his capital is almost certainly guaranteed.”
There are many theories on investments. I’m going to take poetic license with one of Warren Buffett’s theories. He once said in reference to the stock market: “Put all your eggs in one basket and then watch that basket very carefully.” I took poetic license and decided that his theory works beautifully with the investment of gold. I would recommend putting all my gold in one basket, primarily because I wouldn’t have to watch it on a daily basis as carefully as you would the stock market. You can see more or less the gold trends before you actually have to make a decision, whereas with the stock market you really have to be paying attention each day. I’d recommend setting up an action plan that you can live with and then stick to it. If your action plan is to put most of your money into gold, stay with that plan. If your action plan is to diversify, then research carefully the areas in which you want to diversify and then stick to that plan. But whatever you decide to do, have a clear objective in mind and stick with it.
To summarise:
Numismatic coins
- limited market
- can be difficult to sell and make a profit
- attract high premiums from dealers from 15-100% or more
- you need to know what you are doing
Gold bullion
- worldwide market
- easy to buy and sell
- price only needs to rise by 5-10% and you are nearly in profit
Saturday, February 6, 2010
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1 comment:
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